UFC Vegas 111 Odds: Denise Gomes vs. Tecia Torres – Expert Breakdown and Betting Analysis

The UFC returns to Las Vegas for UFC Vegas 111 this Saturday, November 8, 2025, and one of the most anticipated fights on the card is the women’s strawweight clash between #13 Tecia Torres and #15 Denise Gomes.

Both fighters are entering this bout with something to prove — Torres is looking to reestablish herself as a top contender after a brief hiatus, while Gomes is aiming to climb the rankings with another statement win. This matchup has strong implications for the top 10 in one of the UFC’s most competitive divisions, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Tale of the Tape

Event: UFC Vegas 111 – Bonfim vs. Brown
Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Division: Women’s Strawweight (115 lbs)
Broadcast: ESPN+

Why This Fight Stands Out

The Torres vs. Gomes fight represents a classic stylistic and generational clash. Tecia Torres is one of the most experienced athletes in the division, having competed against nearly every top contender over the past decade. Denise Gomes, on the other hand, represents the next wave of Brazilian talent—young, aggressive, and powerful.

For Torres, this fight is an opportunity to show that experience and conditioning can still overcome youth and explosiveness. For Gomes, it’s a chance to prove she belongs among the elite and to secure her first ranking breakthrough victory.

Denise Gomes: The Rising Brazilian Prospect

At 25 years old, Denise Gomes has quickly become one of the most dangerous prospects at strawweight. She fights out of the GAEA Project gym in Brazil and has already earned two Performance of the Night bonuses in her young UFC career.

Gomes averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute and carries real finishing power — rare for the division. Her knockout wins over Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Yazmin Jauregui have showcased her crisp combinations and ability to pressure opponents from the opening bell.

However, there are still question marks around her cardio. Gomes has only gone the distance twice inside the UFC, and her pace has slowed noticeably in the final round of both fights. Against a seasoned opponent like Torres, that could become a major factor.

Key Strengths: Explosive striking, forward pressure, power finishing ability.
Key Risks: Limited five-round experience, potential cardio issues in later rounds.

Tecia Torres: The Veteran with Experience and Grit

Known as “The Tiny Tornado,” Tecia Torres is one of the longest-tenured strawweights in the UFC. With victories over names like Rose Namajunas and Carla Esparza, Torres has proven her ability to compete with the very best.

After taking time off in 2023 to start a family, Torres returned stronger and more focused, securing a decision win over Angela Hill in her comeback fight. Her game plan remains consistent: use her wrestling, clinch control, and lateral movement to wear opponents down over three rounds.

Torres boasts an 82% takedown defense rate, one of the highest in the division, and her experience in 25-minute wars gives her a composure advantage that Gomes has yet to develop.

Key Strengths: Elite cardio, strong wrestling, high fight IQ.
Key Risks: Lower finishing rate, potential vulnerability to early power shots.

Betting Analysis and Odds

The betting market has leaned toward Gomes since lines opened. She began around -160 but has since tightened to -180 as public and sharp money flowed her way.

However, internal House of Odds projections give Gomes a 58% chance of victory, slightly below her implied odds, suggesting mild overvaluation. If Torres’ line drifts to +165 or higher, the underdog becomes a value target.

House of Odds Picks

• Primary Pick: Denise Gomes Moneyline (-180) — 1 Unit
  Gomes’ speed and striking output should secure early round momentum.
   
• Value Play: Tecia Torres by Decision (+400) — 0.5 Unit
  Torres has the cardio and wrestling to control later rounds and steal a decision.
   
• Prop Parlay: Gomes ML + Over 2.5 Rounds (around +200 combined)
  Balances Gomes’ favorite status with high probability of going the distance.
   

Bet responsibly and avoid overexposure; this fight has upset potential and stylistic volatility.

Fight Storylines and Key Factors

• Generational Contrast: Torres (35) vs. Gomes (25) highlights the veteran vs. prospect dynamic.
   
• Return Narrative: Torres’ comeback after motherhood adds emotional weight.
   
• Striker vs. Grappler Matchup: Can Gomes keep the fight standing, or will Torres slow the pace with control?
   
• Market Movement: Gomes’ odds may rise further if public betting continues, offering late value on Torres.
   

Expert Prediction: Gomes by Decision (29–28)

Expect a competitive three-round contest. Gomes’ power and early striking should win her the first two rounds, while Torres rallies late with experience and endurance.

Final Prediction: Denise Gomes by Decision
Projected Confidence: 4 out of 5

Where to Bet UFC Vegas 111

Compare current lines across major sportsbooks before locking in your pick:

• DraftKings: Gomes -180 / Torres +150
   
• FanDuel: Gomes -175 / Torres +160
   
• BetMGM: Over 2.5 Rounds (-140)
   

Final Thoughts

The Tecia Torres vs. Denise Gomes fight embodies what makes UFC betting so engaging — contrasting styles, career-defining stakes, and a razor-thin margin between favorite and underdog.

Gomes enters as the more dynamic striker, but Torres’ veteran poise and conditioning make this matchup closer than the odds suggest. Whether you’re betting or watching, expect a tactical, high-paced contest that could redefine both fighters’ paths in 2026.